At this moment in time, I reside on a sleeper train between Edinburgh and Birmingham, UK. As I have little to do here, my mind has wondered a fair distance – all the way to a past interest of mine, the events of 9 September 2001. This is what I have noted.

The Theory

1. In every event in life, there is a multitude of resulting data and factors that caused said event.

1.1 In certain cases, these causes and results (from now, simply referred to as ‘the data’) are out of the ordinary.

1.2 As the complexity of the event grows, the size of the data grows too.

2. All the ‘evidence’ called upon in conspiracy theories could have been freak coincidence.

2.1 In the majority of cases, the events that are theorised about are of great complexity and subsequently have large data pools.

Intermediate Conclusion: As the amount of data surrounding events is large, the number of datum will be high.

Conclusion: Simply because an event has many freak causes and results, we should not necessarily abandon our current perception of the event.

The Experiment

I am going to (virtually, but this is besides the point) simulate an event, then observe the anomalous data.

I throw a red ball at a white surface. It bounces off and rolls to a stop. All seems normal.

Upon closer inspection, it can be seen that the ball was thrown at the wall at an angle of 87 deg. Now, as angle of incidence = angle of reflection, the ball should have rolled off at an angle of 87 deg. It appears this is not the case and the ball is 82 deg from the point of incidence. You find it is clear that some external entity must have tampered with the data and is keeping there reason for doing so from you.

No mark was left on the wall, so did the collision even happen after all?

The PSI of the ball is the same after the event than before – more evidence that the collision did not occur.

In actuality, the first issue pointed out here is solved by the fact no ball is entirely spherical and this one was from poundland. This caused the ball to refract incorrectly.

The latter two points are solved by the fact the ball simply wasn’t thrown that hard, the wall is well painted and the ball (despite it’s poundland origins) is well sealed.

The point

It is clear that certain datum in the ball and wall test case is odd, however these oddities all have freak causes.

The ball and wall event is relatively simple but yet contains three (if not many more) reasons to doubt the entire event happened. So what about an event as large as 9/11 or the JFK assassination? The data pool is huge, which has led to people finding reasons to doubt the event in question occurred as they are told. But these anomalous datum are actually as natural as the sunrise; not a real source of doubt.

Anyway, I hope that was worth the read, any comments (as ever) greatly appreciated.
Sam

1. Everything is interesting.
   1. I obtain enjoyment from interest.
   2. Interest leads to understanding.
      1. Understanding is my ultimate aim.
2. Death is inevitable.

Conclusion: I should attempt to lead a life that includes the maximum amount of experiences possible.